Red-Greens in very narrow lead, Sweden Democrats only the third largest party.
Detta är en kopia på tidigare analys som skickats ut den 10 september. Analysen innehåller en uppdaterad mandatfördelning med anledning av Valmyndighetens korrigering av preliminärt valresultat.
Government formation will be complicated. Price action in the EURSEK has been extremely muted. In the coming days, SEK may trade choppily but there will likely not be any long lasting effects neither on the FX nor on the FI markets. The final result will take another few days and the advanced votes could benefit the Alliance (as in previous elections).
In the coming weeks there will be negotiations among the parties to form a new government. So far Stefan Löfven remains as Prime Minster. The Centre Party and the Liberals might be king makers.